Koreksi Bias Data Hujan Satelit Persiann Sebagai Alternatif Pos Stasiun Hujan dengan Pendekatan Quantile Mapping di Sub Das Brantas Hulu

Abstract

The rainfall data is usually obtained from meteorological stations, which many sill observed manually in Indonesia and can lead to an observation error. Remote sensing rainfall data observed by satellite offer interesting alternatives to overcome the limitation of existing meteorological stations in Indonesia. It offers accuracy, spatial coverage, timeliness and cost effectiveness. However it contains bias if compared to land based station. This research will evaluate rainfall data observed in PERSIANN (Precipitation Estimation from Remotely Sensed Information using Artificial Neural Networks) in Brantas Hulu Watershed. The rainfall data of 13 years from 12 stations is evaluated to obtain area averaged rainfall using Thiessen Polygon method. Three datasets from PERSIANN, PERSIANN CCS and PERSIANN CDR are compared statistically with the area averaged area for daily, monthly and yearly rainfall. Bias correction is performed using Quantile Mapping to match the cumulative distribution curve from the area averaged rainfall. Verification of bias correction is performed using 2 years data from 2019 to 2020. Finally, the extreme rainfall analysis is performed to test the corrected data for design rainfall calculations. The correlation of daily data shows poor agreement for all three datasets with correlation coefficient below 0,40. The monthly and yearly data gives better correlation with coefficient above 0,80. It shows that for time series event, the satellite data gives poor correlation with the area averaged rainfall. However, quantile mapping correction gives consistent cumulative distribution agreement for correction and model verification. The verification analysis shows an increase in coefficient correlation from 0.387 to 0.43 (daily) and 0.887 to 0.915 (monthly). In addition, there is a decrease in normalized root mean square error (NRMSE) from 31.03% to 16.91% (daily) and 46.03% to 14.03% (monthly). A decrease in normalized mean absolute error (NMAE) occurred from 16.12% to 9.74% (daily) and 31.67% to 10.07% (monthly). Beside that, the results of extreme rainfall analysis produce values that are very close to the rain station. So it is found that the PERSIANN CCS quantile mapping regression model is the best in improving data quality.